October 26, 2024
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Barnett | Kennedy Nzechukwu |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 988 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Kennedy Nzechukwu's 7-fight experience advantage (12 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kennedy Nzechukwu for the expected result. Had Chris Barnett pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Barnett | Kennedy Nzechukwu |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Barnett | Kennedy Nzechukwu |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:27 | 4:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 107 | 1 319 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +59 |
Kennedy Nzechukwu earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:27, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Chris Barnett | Kennedy Nzechukwu |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 51 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 34 | 74 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 919 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -98 | +98 |
Kennedy Nzechukwu controlled the striking exchanges with 51 vs 12 total strikes, 51 vs 12 significant strikes, 68.9% vs 35.3% accuracy. Kennedy Nzechukwu capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Barnett | Kennedy Nzechukwu |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 927 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Chris Barnett | Kennedy Nzechukwu |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 778 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 039 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +21 |
Kennedy Nzechukwu demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kennedy Nzechukwu capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Barnett's 778-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Barnett | Kennedy Nzechukwu |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 990 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Kennedy Nzechukwu started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Barnett is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Barnett | Kennedy Nzechukwu |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.