August 22, 2015
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Beal | Chris Kelades |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 991 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chris Beal | Chris Kelades |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 997 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Beal | Chris Kelades |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 055 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Chris Kelades receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Chris Beal | Chris Kelades |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 113 | 109 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 83 | 90 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 041 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Chris Kelades slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Chris Kelades capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Beal | Chris Kelades |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:47 | 2:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 019 | 874 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Chris Kelades did not secure a significant ground advantage against Chris Beal on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:40 of control time, 6 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Chris Beal | Chris Kelades |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 014 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Chris Kelades demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Chris Kelades capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Beal's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Beal | Chris Kelades |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Chris Kelades started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Beal is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Beal | Chris Kelades |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 997 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.