June 17, 2016
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Beal | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 955 | 981 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +38 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chris Beal | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 973 | 970 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Beal | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:39 | 3:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 999 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +84 |
Joe Soto earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:39, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Chris Beal was submitted.
| Metric | Chris Beal | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 76 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 209 | 136 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 78 | 63 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 007 | 811 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Chris Beal controlled the striking through superior volume (78 vs 63 total strikes), significant strike advantage (76 vs 47). However, since Chris Beal lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Joe Soto's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Beal | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:11 | 2:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 849 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -170 | +170 |
Joe Soto dominated Chris Beal on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:08 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chris Beal | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 300 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 989 | 994 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +43 |
Joe Soto demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joe Soto capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Beal's 300-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Beal | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 973 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +27 |
Joe Soto started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Beal is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Beal | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 973 | 968 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.