January 10, 2002
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Brennan | Gil Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 949 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chris Brennan | Gil Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 959 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Brennan | Gil Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 918 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Gil Castillo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Brennan | Gil Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 33 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 97 | 120 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 931 | 987 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Gil Castillo edged the striking exchanges with 120 vs 97 total strikes, 17 vs 8 significant strikes, 51.5% vs 34.8% accuracy. Gil Castillo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Brennan | Gil Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 13:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 825 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -76 | +76 |
Gil Castillo dominated Chris Brennan on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 13:02 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Brennan | Gil Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 401 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 959 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +53 |
Gil Castillo demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gil Castillo capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Brennan's 1401-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Brennan | Gil Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 959 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Gil Castillo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Brennan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Brennan | Gil Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

