November 25, 2016
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Daniel Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 970 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +38 |
Daniel Kelly overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chris Camozzi.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Daniel Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Daniel Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 144 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Daniel Kelly earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Daniel Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 56 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 115 | 102 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 66 | 84 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 126 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Chris Camozzi controlled the striking through superior volume (66 vs 84 total strikes), significant strike advantage (56 vs 39), superior accuracy (48.7% vs 38.2%). However, since Chris Camozzi lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Daniel Kelly's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Daniel Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 6:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 860 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Daniel Kelly dominated Chris Camozzi on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 6:44 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Daniel Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 113 | 252 |
| Activity ELO | 1 127 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Daniel Kelly demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Daniel Kelly capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Camozzi's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Daniel Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +26 |
Daniel Kelly extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Camozzi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Daniel Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 998 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.