January 27, 2012
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Dustin Jacoby |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 990 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Chris Camozzi's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chris Camozzi for the expected result. Had Dustin Jacoby pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Dustin Jacoby |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Dustin Jacoby |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:08 | 1:08 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 036 | 918 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -40 |
Chris Camozzi earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:08, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Dustin Jacoby was submitted.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Dustin Jacoby |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 128 | 126 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 44 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 001 | 932 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Chris Camozzi edged the striking exchanges with 44 vs 30 significant strikes, 34.4% vs 23.8% accuracy. Chris Camozzi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Dustin Jacoby |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 949 | 872 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Dustin Jacoby |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 92 | 92 |
| Activity ELO | 1 063 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -19 |
Chris Camozzi demonstrated solid activity levels with 92 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chris Camozzi capitalized on this activity level, while Dustin Jacoby's 92-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Dustin Jacoby |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Chris Camozzi started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dustin Jacoby is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Dustin Jacoby |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 018 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.