October 28, 2011
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Francis Carmont |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 956 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Francis Carmont overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chris Camozzi.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Francis Carmont |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 998 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Francis Carmont |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 976 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Francis Carmont earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Francis Carmont |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 51 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 74 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 82 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 971 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -79 | +79 |
Francis Carmont controlled the striking exchanges with 82 vs 56 total strikes, 51 vs 22 significant strikes, 68.9% vs 46.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Francis Carmont capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Francis Carmont |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:00 | 4:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 905 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Francis Carmont landed 1 knockdown followed by 12 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Francis Carmont |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 016 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Francis Carmont demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Francis Carmont capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Camozzi's 245-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Francis Carmont |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Francis Carmont started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Camozzi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Francis Carmont |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 998 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

