May 17, 2013
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 982 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -98 | +98 |
Jacare Souza overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chris Camozzi.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 052 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:37 | 3:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 068 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +93 |
Jacare Souza earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:37, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 058 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Jacare Souza slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 50.0% vs 28.6% accuracy. Jacare Souza capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 2:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 896 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -142 | +142 |
Jacare Souza dominated Chris Camozzi on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:38 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 63 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 143 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Jacare Souza demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Jacare Souza capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Camozzi's 63-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 075 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +30 |
Jacare Souza started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Camozzi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 052 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

