April 17, 2015
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 893 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +11 |
Jacare Souza overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chris Camozzi.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 969 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:33 | 2:33 |
| Win Type ELO | 984 | 1 353 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +18 |
Jacare Souza earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:33, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 985 | 1 372 |
| ELO Change | -5 | +5 |
Jacare Souza slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 66.7% vs 50.0% accuracy. Jacare Souza capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 798 | 1 467 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +6 |
Jacare Souza dominated Chris Camozzi on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:30 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 049 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +17 |
Jacare Souza demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jacare Souza capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Camozzi's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 990 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +26 |
Jacare Souza continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Chris Camozzi's now at 0.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 969 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.