February 20, 2016
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 970 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Chris Camozzi's 3-fight experience advantage (15 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chris Camozzi for the expected result. Had Joe Riggs pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 012 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:26 | 0:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 167 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +132 | -45 |
Chris Camozzi secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:26 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 0 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 189 | 852 |
| ELO Change | +179 | -179 |
Chris Camozzi controlled the striking exchanges with 11 vs 0 significant strikes, 84.6% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chris Camozzi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 884 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 198 | 170 |
| Activity ELO | 1 122 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Chris Camozzi demonstrated standard activity with 198 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Chris Camozzi capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Riggs's 170-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 037 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Chris Camozzi extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Riggs is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 011 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.