February 25, 2011
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 031 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:35 | 1:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 021 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +58 |
Kyle Noke earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:35, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 050 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Chris Camozzi controlled the striking through superior accuracy (57.1% vs 40.0%). However, since Chris Camozzi lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Kyle Noke's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:41 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 970 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | -74 | +74 |
Kyle Noke dominated Chris Camozzi on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 039 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +52 |
Kyle Noke demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kyle Noke capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Camozzi's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +27 |
Kyle Noke extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Camozzi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.