November 5, 2013
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 951 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +48 |
Lorenz Larkin overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chris Camozzi.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 027 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 015 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Lorenz Larkin earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 147 | 121 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 033 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Chris Camozzi controlled the striking through superior volume (81 vs 62 total strikes), significant strike advantage (64 vs 46). However, since Chris Camozzi lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Lorenz Larkin's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:47 | 1:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 856 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Lorenz Larkin controlled Chris Camozzi on the ground with 1:03 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 173 | 201 |
| Activity ELO | 1 113 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +37 |
Lorenz Larkin demonstrated standard activity with 201 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Lorenz Larkin capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Camozzi's 173-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 049 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +29 |
Lorenz Larkin started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Camozzi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 027 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.