August 5, 2016
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 991 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (17 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:58 | 2:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 186 | 1 384 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +40 |
Thales Leites earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:58, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Chris Camozzi was submitted.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 58 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 158 | 1 290 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Thales Leites controlled the striking exchanges with 58 vs 11 total strikes, 36 vs 8 significant strikes, 67.9% vs 53.3% accuracy. Thales Leites capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:22 | 11:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 22 |
| Ground ELO | 891 | 1 328 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Thales Leites dominated Chris Camozzi on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 11:21 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 69 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 150 | 1 279 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +28 |
Thales Leites demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Thales Leites capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Camozzi's 69-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +18 |
Thales Leites started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Camozzi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Camozzi | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 016 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.