January 31, 2014
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Danny Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 084 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Chris Cariaso's 8-fight experience advantage (9 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chris Cariaso for the expected result. Had Danny Martinez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Danny Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 048 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Danny Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 109 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Chris Cariaso earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Danny Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 73 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 203 | 110 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 85 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 112 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Chris Cariaso dominated the striking exchanges with 85 vs 33 total strikes, 73 vs 33 significant strikes. Chris Cariaso capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Danny Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 14 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 7:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 995 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Chris Cariaso did not secure a significant ground advantage against Danny Martinez on the ground with 0 takedowns, 6 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Danny Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 116 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 133 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -15 |
Chris Cariaso demonstrated solid activity levels with 116 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chris Cariaso capitalized on this activity level, while Danny Martinez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Danny Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 063 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -19 |
Chris Cariaso extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Danny Martinez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Danny Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 048 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.