September 26, 2014
UFC Flyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Demetrious Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 099 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Demetrious Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 057 | 1 309 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +29 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Demetrious Johnson captured the UFC Flyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Demetrious Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:29 | 2:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 100 | 1 372 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +28 |
Demetrious Johnson earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:29, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Chris Cariaso was submitted.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Demetrious Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 43 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 111 | 1 401 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Demetrious Johnson controlled the striking exchanges with 47 vs 13 total strikes, 27 vs 6 significant strikes, 62.8% vs 22.2% accuracy. Demetrious Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Demetrious Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 4:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 004 | 1 441 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Demetrious Johnson dominated Chris Cariaso on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:44 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Demetrious Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 153 | 1 296 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +39 |
Demetrious Johnson demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Demetrious Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Cariaso's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Demetrious Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 7 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 073 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +42 |
Demetrious Johnson continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Chris Cariaso's now at 0.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Demetrious Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 050 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.