December 28, 2012
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | John Moraga |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 075 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +50 |
John Moraga overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chris Cariaso.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | John Moraga |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 035 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | John Moraga |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:11 | 1:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 066 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +67 |
John Moraga earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:11, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Chris Cariaso was submitted.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | John Moraga |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 122 | 74 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 076 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Chris Cariaso controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (39 vs 26). However, since Chris Cariaso lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. John Moraga's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | John Moraga |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:36 | 1:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 016 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
John Moraga controlled Chris Cariaso on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 1:28 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | John Moraga |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 172 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 094 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +54 |
John Moraga demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, John Moraga capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Cariaso's 172-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | John Moraga |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +29 |
John Moraga extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Cariaso is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | John Moraga |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 035 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.