May 17, 2013
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 035 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +54 |
Jussier Formiga overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chris Cariaso.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 011 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 013 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Jussier Formiga earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 045 | 935 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Chris Cariaso controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (64 vs 33 total strikes), significant strike advantage (26 vs 10). However, since Chris Cariaso lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jussier Formiga's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:21 | 8:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 944 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Jussier Formiga controlled Chris Cariaso on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 8:50 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 066 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +34 |
Jussier Formiga demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jussier Formiga capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Cariaso's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +27 |
Jussier Formiga started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Cariaso is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 011 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.