October 2, 2015
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 032 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +50 |
Sergio Pettis overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chris Cariaso.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 012 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 006 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Sergio Pettis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 79 | 122 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 981 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -78 | +78 |
Sergio Pettis controlled the striking exchanges with 80 vs 54 total strikes, 30.3% vs 46.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Sergio Pettis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:10 | 5:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 22 |
| Ground ELO | 829 | 955 |
| ELO Change | -76 | +76 |
Sergio Pettis controlled Chris Cariaso on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 5:52 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 203 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 098 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +32 |
Sergio Pettis demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sergio Pettis capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Cariaso's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Sergio Pettis started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Cariaso is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

