February 24, 2012
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 094 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -19 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 082 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Chris Cariaso earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 77 | 88 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 75 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 060 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Chris Cariaso edged the striking exchanges with 37 vs 28 significant strikes, 48.1% vs 31.8% accuracy. Chris Cariaso capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:23 | 8:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 1 048 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Chris Cariaso did not secure a significant ground advantage against Takeya Mizugaki on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:23 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 092 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -22 |
Chris Cariaso demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chris Cariaso capitalized on this activity level, while Takeya Mizugaki's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 049 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Chris Cariaso extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Takeya Mizugaki is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Cariaso | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.