July 22, 2022
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 143 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Jack Hermansson's 11-fight experience advantage (15 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jack Hermansson for the expected result. Had Chris Curtis pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 050 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 256 | 1 475 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Jack Hermansson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 100 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 125 | 251 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 43 | 100 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 206 | 1 324 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Jack Hermansson dominated the striking exchanges with 100 vs 43 total strikes, 100 vs 43 significant strikes. Jack Hermansson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 199 | 1 371 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 28 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 232 | 1 360 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +28 |
Jack Hermansson demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jack Hermansson capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Curtis's 28-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 067 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Jack Hermansson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Curtis is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 050 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.