December 9, 2022
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 174 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -25 |
Chris Curtis overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Joaquin Buckley.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 070 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:49 | 2:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 314 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -28 |
Chris Curtis gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 87 | 163 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 36 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 282 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -76 |
Joaquin Buckley controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (50 vs 36), superior accuracy (30.7% vs 41.4%). However, since Joaquin Buckley lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Chris Curtis's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 230 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Chris Curtis landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 99 |
| Activity ELO | 1 267 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -17 |
Chris Curtis demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chris Curtis capitalized on this activity level, while Joaquin Buckley's 99-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 090 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -20 |
Chris Curtis started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joaquin Buckley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 070 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.