January 19, 2024
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 173 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Chris Curtis overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marc-Andre Barriault.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 068 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 289 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Chris Curtis receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 140 | 122 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 258 | 243 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 144 | 124 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 267 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Chris Curtis controlled the striking exchanges with 144 vs 124 total strikes, 140 vs 122 significant strikes. Chris Curtis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 178 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 264 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -15 |
Chris Curtis demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Chris Curtis capitalized on this activity level, while Marc-Andre Barriault's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 093 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Chris Curtis started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marc-Andre Barriault is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 067 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.