November 5, 2021
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 085 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +85 | -85 |
Chris Curtis overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Phil Hawes.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:27 | 4:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 130 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | +130 | -60 |
Chris Curtis earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:27, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 90 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 49 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 127 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +127 | -127 |
Phil Hawes controlled the striking through superior volume (49 vs 22 total strikes), significant strike advantage (48 vs 21). However, since Phil Hawes lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Chris Curtis's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 078 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -78 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 028 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Chris Curtis demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Chris Curtis capitalized on this activity level, while Phil Hawes's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -25 |
Chris Curtis started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Phil Hawes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.