January 11, 2025
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 115 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +41 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 032 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 237 | 1 330 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +96 |
Roman Kopylov gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 142 | 130 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 261 | 307 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 146 | 133 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 172 | 1 356 |
| ELO Change | -76 | +76 |
Chris Curtis controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (142 vs 130), superior accuracy (54.4% vs 42.3%). However, since Chris Curtis lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Roman Kopylov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:49 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 092 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +70 |
Roman Kopylov landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 281 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 224 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +32 |
Roman Kopylov demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Roman Kopylov capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Curtis's 281-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 059 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +26 |
Roman Kopylov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Curtis is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Curtis | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 031 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

