March 25, 2022
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 135 | 1 343 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Curtis Blaydes's 9-fight experience advantage (15 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Curtis Blaydes for the expected result. Had Chris Daukaus pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 053 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:17 | 0:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 360 | 1 624 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +41 |
Curtis Blaydes gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 63 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 240 | 1 533 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Curtis Blaydes controlled the striking exchanges with 30 vs 13 significant strikes, 47.6% vs 34.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Curtis Blaydes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 181 | 1 461 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Curtis Blaydes landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 176 | 1 380 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +14 |
Curtis Blaydes demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Curtis Blaydes capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Daukaus's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 081 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +17 |
Curtis Blaydes extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Daukaus is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 052 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

