December 9, 2022
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 112 | 1 250 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik's 4-fight experience advantage (11 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jairzinho Rozenstruik for the expected result. Had Chris Daukaus pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 032 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:23 | 0:23 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 329 | 1 543 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +90 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:23 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 124 | 1 441 |
| ELO Change | -116 | +116 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik controlled the striking exchanges with 12 vs 1 significant strikes, 57.1% vs 100.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jairzinho Rozenstruik capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 118 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 259 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 161 | 1 300 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +19 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jairzinho Rozenstruik capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Daukaus's 259-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 061 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Daukaus is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 031 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

