August 11, 2023
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 075 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Khalil Rountree Jr.'s 6-fight experience advantage (14 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Khalil Rountree Jr. for the expected result. Had Chris Daukaus pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 012 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:40 | 2:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 277 | 1 361 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +117 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:40, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 21 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 063 | 1 314 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. controlled the striking exchanges with 16 vs 8 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 38.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Khalil Rountree Jr. capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 053 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | 287 |
| Activity ELO | 1 138 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. demonstrated standard activity with 287 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Khalil Rountree Jr. capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Daukaus's 245-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 041 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +29 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Daukaus is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Daukaus | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 011 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.