Chris Duncan vs Mateusz Rebecki

August 2, 2025

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1129
(+31)
Chris Duncan
Winner: Chris Duncan
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

C-ELO Evolution

Chris Duncan+31
Mateusz Rebecki-26
1109
(-26)
Mateusz Rebecki

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Duncan: +30Mateusz Rebecki: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricChris DuncanMateusz Rebecki
Total UFC Fights66
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 1621 091
ELO Change+30-20
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Duncan: +21Mateusz Rebecki: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricChris DuncanMateusz Rebecki
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0801 042
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Duncan: +46Mateusz Rebecki: -46

Performance Statistics

MetricChris DuncanMateusz Rebecki
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1851 130
ELO Change+46-46
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What Happened

Chris Duncan earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Duncan: +27Mateusz Rebecki: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricChris DuncanMateusz Rebecki
Significant Strikes Landed92114
Significant Strikes Attempted222267
Total Strikes Landed95123
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1191 167
ELO Change+27-27
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What Happened

Mateusz Rebecki controlled the striking through superior volume (123 vs 95 total strikes), significant strike advantage (114 vs 92). However, since Mateusz Rebecki lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Chris Duncan's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Duncan: +28Mateusz Rebecki: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricChris DuncanMateusz Rebecki
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted16
Ground Control Time0:271:23
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1671 240
ELO Change+28-28
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What Happened

Chris Duncan did not secure a significant ground advantage against Mateusz Rebecki on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:27 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Duncan: +45Mateusz Rebecki: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricChris DuncanMateusz Rebecki
Days Since Last Fight133280
Activity ELO1 1401 099
ELO Change+45-23
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What Happened

Chris Duncan demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chris Duncan capitalized on this activity level, while Mateusz Rebecki's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Duncan: +28Mateusz Rebecki: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricChris DuncanMateusz Rebecki
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 0981 059
ELO Change+28-22
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What Happened

Chris Duncan extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mateusz Rebecki is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Duncan: +21Mateusz Rebecki: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricChris DuncanMateusz Rebecki
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0801 041
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.