April 4, 2026
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Chris Duncan | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 20 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 166 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Renato Moicano's 12-fight experience advantage (20 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Renato Moicano for the expected result. Had Chris Duncan pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Duncan | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 080 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Duncan | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:14 | 3:14 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 254 | 1 475 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +37 |
Renato Moicano earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:14, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Chris Duncan was submitted.
| Metric | Chris Duncan | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 62 | 36 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 172 | 1 288 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Renato Moicano controlled the striking exchanges with 62 vs 30 total strikes, 21 vs 27 significant strikes, 58.3% vs 43.5% accuracy. Renato Moicano capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Duncan | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 3:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 251 | 1 409 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Renato Moicano controlled Chris Duncan on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:16 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chris Duncan | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 280 |
| Activity ELO | 1 173 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Renato Moicano demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Renato Moicano capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Duncan's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Duncan | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 108 | 1 204 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Renato Moicano started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Duncan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Duncan | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 079 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.