Chris Duncan vs Terrance McKinney

December 6, 2025

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1187
(+58)
Chris Duncan
Winner: Chris Duncan
Submission
Round 1 • 2:30

C-ELO Evolution

Chris Duncan+58
Terrance McKinney-47
1089
(-47)
Terrance McKinney

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Duncan: +31Terrance McKinney: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricChris DuncanTerrance McKinney
Total UFC Fights712
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO1 1931 048
ELO Change+31-23
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What Happened

Chris Duncan overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Terrance McKinney.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Duncan: +19Terrance McKinney: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricChris DuncanTerrance McKinney
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0991 031
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Duncan: +93Terrance McKinney: -53

Performance Statistics

MetricChris DuncanTerrance McKinney
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:302:30
Win Type ELO1 2781 225
ELO Change+93-53
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What Happened

Chris Duncan earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:30, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Duncan: +78Terrance McKinney: -78

Performance Statistics

MetricChris DuncanTerrance McKinney
Significant Strikes Landed3831
Significant Strikes Attempted5557
Total Strikes Landed5331
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 1971 127
ELO Change+78-78
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What Happened

Chris Duncan controlled the striking exchanges with 53 vs 31 total strikes, 38 vs 31 significant strikes, 69.1% vs 54.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chris Duncan capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Duncan: +146Terrance McKinney: -146

Performance Statistics

MetricChris DuncanTerrance McKinney
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time1:100:00
Ground Strikes Landed221
Ground ELO1 3131 027
ELO Change+146-146
💡

What Happened

Chris Duncan dominated Terrance McKinney on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:10 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Duncan: +49Terrance McKinney: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricChris DuncanTerrance McKinney
Days Since Last Fight126161
Activity ELO1 1891 172
ELO Change+49-24
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What Happened

Chris Duncan demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chris Duncan capitalized on this activity level, while Terrance McKinney's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Duncan: +27Terrance McKinney: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricChris DuncanTerrance McKinney
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 1251 049
ELO Change+27-19
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What Happened

Chris Duncan extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Terrance McKinney is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Duncan: +19Terrance McKinney: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricChris DuncanTerrance McKinney
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0991 031
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.