July 14, 2020
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Fishgold | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 960 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Jared Gordon's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jared Gordon for the expected result. Had Chris Fishgold pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Fishgold | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 962 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Fishgold | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 971 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Jared Gordon earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Fishgold | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 69 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 241 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 885 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Jared Gordon dominated the striking exchanges with 241 vs 27 total strikes, 44 vs 20 significant strikes, 63.8% vs 34.5% accuracy. Jared Gordon capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Fishgold | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:43 | 10:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 23 |
| Ground ELO | 915 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Jared Gordon dominated Chris Fishgold on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 10:22 of control time, 23 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Fishgold | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 410 | 242 |
| Activity ELO | 985 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Jared Gordon demonstrated standard activity with 242 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jared Gordon capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Fishgold's 410-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Fishgold | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 967 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Jared Gordon started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Fishgold is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Fishgold | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 962 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.