May 31, 2019
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Fishgold | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 988 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Makwan Amirkhani's 3-fight experience advantage (6 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Makwan Amirkhani for the expected result. Had Chris Fishgold pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Fishgold | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Fishgold | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:25 | 4:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 006 | 1 241 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +34 |
Makwan Amirkhani earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:25, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Chris Fishgold was submitted.
| Metric | Chris Fishgold | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 52 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 941 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Chris Fishgold controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (16 vs 9). However, since Chris Fishgold lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Makwan Amirkhani's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Fishgold | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 975 | 1 275 |
| ELO Change | -81 | +81 |
Makwan Amirkhani dominated Chris Fishgold on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:59 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chris Fishgold | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 370 |
| Activity ELO | 1 004 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +16 |
Makwan Amirkhani demonstrated extended layoff with 370 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Makwan Amirkhani capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Fishgold's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Fishgold | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +20 |
Makwan Amirkhani extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Fishgold is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Fishgold | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.