October 8, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Felipe Colares |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 127 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Chris Gutierrez's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chris Gutierrez for the expected result. Had Felipe Colares pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Felipe Colares |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 078 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Felipe Colares |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 129 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -7 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Chris Gutierrez receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Felipe Colares |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 96 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 144 | 147 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 115 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 237 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Chris Gutierrez controlled the striking exchanges with 115 vs 70 total strikes, 96 vs 41 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 27.9% accuracy. Chris Gutierrez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Felipe Colares |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:30 | 3:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 074 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Chris Gutierrez did not secure a significant ground advantage against Felipe Colares on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:30 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Felipe Colares |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 133 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -16 |
Chris Gutierrez demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Chris Gutierrez capitalized on this activity level, while Felipe Colares's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Felipe Colares |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 096 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -17 |
Chris Gutierrez extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Felipe Colares is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Felipe Colares |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 078 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.