August 9, 2019
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Geraldo de Freitas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 041 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Geraldo de Freitas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Geraldo de Freitas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 024 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Chris Gutierrez receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Geraldo de Freitas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 86 | 112 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 57 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 062 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Chris Gutierrez edged the striking exchanges with 48 vs 40 significant strikes, 55.8% vs 35.7% accuracy. Chris Gutierrez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Geraldo de Freitas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:56 | 2:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 982 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +90 | -90 |
Chris Gutierrez controlled Geraldo de Freitas on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:56 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Geraldo de Freitas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 076 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -20 |
Chris Gutierrez demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chris Gutierrez capitalized on this activity level, while Geraldo de Freitas's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Geraldo de Freitas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Chris Gutierrez extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Geraldo de Freitas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Geraldo de Freitas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.