April 14, 2023
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 201 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Pedro Munhoz's 9-fight experience advantage (19 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Pedro Munhoz for the expected result. Had Chris Gutierrez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 100 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 313 | 1 373 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Pedro Munhoz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 77 | 60 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 133 | 174 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 79 | 74 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 323 | 1 332 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Chris Gutierrez controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (77 vs 60), superior accuracy (57.9% vs 34.5%). However, since Chris Gutierrez lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Pedro Munhoz's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 2:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 097 | 1 295 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Pedro Munhoz landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 287 |
| Activity ELO | 1 181 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Pedro Munhoz demonstrated standard activity with 287 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Pedro Munhoz capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Gutierrez's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 132 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Pedro Munhoz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Gutierrez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 095 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.