March 22, 2019
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Ryan MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 008 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Ryan MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Ryan MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 013 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Chris Gutierrez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Ryan MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 69 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 121 | 75 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 038 | 932 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Chris Gutierrez dominated the striking exchanges with 70 vs 15 total strikes, 69 vs 15 significant strikes, 57.0% vs 20.0% accuracy. Chris Gutierrez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Ryan MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 0:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 892 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Chris Gutierrez did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ryan MacDonald on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Ryan MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 113 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 036 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -22 |
Chris Gutierrez demonstrated solid activity levels with 113 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chris Gutierrez capitalized on this activity level, while Ryan MacDonald's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Ryan MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Chris Gutierrez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryan MacDonald is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Gutierrez | Ryan MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.