April 22, 2016
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Kelades | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 042 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Sergio Pettis's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sergio Pettis for the expected result. Had Chris Kelades pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Kelades | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Kelades | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 986 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Sergio Pettis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Kelades | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 35 | 61 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 112 | 112 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 69 | 85 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 988 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Sergio Pettis controlled the striking exchanges with 61 vs 35 significant strikes, 54.5% vs 31.3% accuracy. Sergio Pettis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Kelades | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:55 | 4:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 843 | 986 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Sergio Pettis edged out Chris Kelades on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 4:55 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Kelades | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 244 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 013 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +23 |
Sergio Pettis demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sergio Pettis capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Kelades's 244-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Kelades | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 007 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Sergio Pettis extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Kelades is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Kelades | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.