December 28, 2012
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Leben | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 20 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 19 | -19 |
| Experience ELO | 942 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -121 | +121 |
Derek Brunson overcame a 19-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chris Leben.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 033 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 244 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Derek Brunson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 94 | 130 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 103 | 76 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 101 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Chris Leben controlled the striking through superior volume (103 vs 76 total strikes), superior accuracy (42.6% vs 31.5%). However, since Chris Leben lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Derek Brunson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 13 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 7:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 927 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -100 | +100 |
Derek Brunson dominated Chris Leben on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 7:21 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 420 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 222 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Derek Brunson demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Derek Brunson capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Leben's 420-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 064 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +29 |
Derek Brunson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Leben is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 032 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.