January 10, 2010
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jay Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 025 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Chris Leben's 12-fight experience advantage (14 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chris Leben for the expected result. Had Jay Silva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jay Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 044 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jay Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 205 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Chris Leben earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jay Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 60 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 99 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 181 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 220 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Chris Leben dominated the striking exchanges with 181 vs 32 total strikes, 60 vs 15 significant strikes, 60.6% vs 27.8% accuracy. Chris Leben capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jay Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:36 | 0:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 44 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 000 | 825 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -84 |
Chris Leben dominated Jay Silva on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 10:36 of control time, 44 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jay Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 136 | 118 |
| Activity ELO | 1 195 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -11 |
Chris Leben demonstrated solid activity levels with 136 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chris Leben capitalized on this activity level, while Jay Silva's 118-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jay Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 070 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -17 |
Chris Leben started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jay Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jay Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.