January 15, 2006
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 102 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 075 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:44 | 1:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 219 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -28 |
Chris Leben earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:44, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 248 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
Chris Leben controlled the striking exchanges with 10 vs 5 significant strikes, 58.8% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chris Leben capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:43 | 0:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 181 | 920 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Chris Leben landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 102 |
| Activity ELO | 1 178 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -13 |
Chris Leben demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chris Leben capitalized on this activity level, while Jorge Rivera's 102-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 090 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -17 |
Chris Leben extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jorge Rivera is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 075 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.