August 16, 2006
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 061 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Chris Leben's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chris Leben for the expected result. Had Jorge Santiago pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 084 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:35 | 0:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 238 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -33 |
Chris Leben gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 104 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +154 | -154 |
Chris Leben controlled the striking exchanges with 40.9% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chris Leben capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:16 | 1:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 182 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Chris Leben landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 50 | 50 |
| Activity ELO | 1 239 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -12 |
Chris Leben demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 50 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Chris Leben capitalized on this activity level, while Jorge Santiago's 50-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 111 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -17 |
Chris Leben started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jorge Santiago is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 084 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.