May 25, 2007
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Leben | Kalib Starnes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 996 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +48 |
Kalib Starnes overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chris Leben.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Kalib Starnes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 034 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Kalib Starnes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 118 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Kalib Starnes earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Kalib Starnes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 135 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 149 | 90 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 052 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Chris Leben controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (149 vs 90 total strikes), superior accuracy (32.6% vs 59.5%). However, since Chris Leben lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Kalib Starnes's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Kalib Starnes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:18 | 5:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 1 021 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +70 |
Kalib Starnes controlled Chris Leben on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:08 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Kalib Starnes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 1 174 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +40 |
Kalib Starnes demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kalib Starnes capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Leben's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Kalib Starnes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 059 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +29 |
Kalib Starnes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Leben is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Kalib Starnes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 034 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.