July 1, 2011
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Leben | Wanderlei Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 087 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Chris Leben's 9-fight experience advantage (18 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chris Leben for the expected result. Had Wanderlei Silva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Wanderlei Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 077 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Wanderlei Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:27 | 0:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 355 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | +110 | -38 |
Chris Leben secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:27 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Wanderlei Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 184 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +188 | -188 |
Chris Leben controlled the striking exchanges with 9 vs 3 significant strikes, 90.0% vs 37.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chris Leben capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Wanderlei Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 072 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -65 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Wanderlei Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 497 |
| Activity ELO | 1 277 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -11 |
Chris Leben demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Chris Leben capitalized on this activity level, while Wanderlei Silva's 497-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Wanderlei Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 110 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -16 |
Chris Leben started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Wanderlei Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Wanderlei Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 076 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.