July 2, 2010
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Leben | Yoshihiro Akiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 14 | -14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 097 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Chris Leben's 14-fight experience advantage (16 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chris Leben for the expected result. Had Yoshihiro Akiyama pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Yoshihiro Akiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 084 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Yoshihiro Akiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:40 | 4:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 311 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -14 |
Chris Leben earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:40, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Yoshihiro Akiyama was submitted.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Yoshihiro Akiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 105 | 68 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 162 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 301 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Chris Leben dominated the striking exchanges with 162 vs 62 total strikes, 46 vs 27 significant strikes. Chris Leben capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Yoshihiro Akiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:23 | 8:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 079 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Chris Leben edged out Yoshihiro Akiyama on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:23 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Yoshihiro Akiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 14 | 357 |
| Activity ELO | 1 295 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -10 |
Chris Leben demonstrated exceptional activity with 14 days since his last fight, earning a high activity bonus for the rapid turnaround. As the winner, Chris Leben capitalized on this activity level, while Yoshihiro Akiyama's 357-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Yoshihiro Akiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 118 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -17 |
Chris Leben extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yoshihiro Akiyama is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Leben | Yoshihiro Akiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 084 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.