November 20, 2003
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Liguori | Keith Rockel |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 965 | 998 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chris Liguori | Keith Rockel |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Liguori | Keith Rockel |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:29 | 3:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 953 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +78 |
Keith Rockel earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:29, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Chris Liguori | Keith Rockel |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 949 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Keith Rockel slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 100.0% vs 33.3% accuracy. Keith Rockel capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Liguori | Keith Rockel |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 3:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 846 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -154 | +154 |
Keith Rockel dominated Chris Liguori on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:04 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chris Liguori | Keith Rockel |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 679 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +20 |
Keith Rockel demonstrated extended layoff with 679 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Keith Rockel capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Liguori's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Liguori | Keith Rockel |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Keith Rockel started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Liguori is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Liguori | Keith Rockel |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.