October 6, 2005
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 953 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +37 |
Joe Riggs overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chris Lytle.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 963 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:00 | 2:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 992 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Joe Riggs gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 25 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 944 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Joe Riggs edged the striking exchanges with 26 vs 52 total strikes, 15 vs 3 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 37.5% accuracy. Joe Riggs capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:04 | 2:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 926 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Joe Riggs controlled Chris Lytle on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:56 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 244 | 174 |
| Activity ELO | 1 002 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +39 |
Joe Riggs demonstrated solid activity levels with 174 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joe Riggs capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Lytle's 244-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 970 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Joe Riggs started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Lytle is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 963 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.