February 1, 2008
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Kyle Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 972 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Chris Lytle's 10-fight experience advantage (11 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chris Lytle for the expected result. Had Kyle Bradley pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Kyle Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 973 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Kyle Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:33 | 0:33 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 136 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +100 | -38 |
Chris Lytle secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:33 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Kyle Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 144 | 812 |
| ELO Change | +188 | -188 |
Chris Lytle controlled the striking exchanges with 12 vs 0 significant strikes, 70.6% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chris Lytle capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Kyle Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 049 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Kyle Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 071 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -20 |
Chris Lytle demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Chris Lytle capitalized on this activity level, while Kyle Bradley's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Kyle Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Chris Lytle started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kyle Bradley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Kyle Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 969 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.