Chris Lytle vs Matt Brown

July 2, 2010

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1129
(+31)
Chris Lytle
Winner: Chris Lytle
Submission
Round 2 • 2:02

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Chris Lytle+31
Matt Brown-25
1051
(-25)
Matt Brown

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Lytle: +35Matt Brown: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricChris LytleMatt Brown
Total UFC Fights177
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO1 0791 052
ELO Change+35-35
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What Happened

Chris Lytle's 10-fight experience advantage (17 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chris Lytle for the expected result. Had Matt Brown pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Lytle: +22Matt Brown: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricChris LytleMatt Brown
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0371 014
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Lytle: +58Matt Brown: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricChris LytleMatt Brown
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:022:02
Win Type ELO1 2941 162
ELO Change+58-38
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What Happened

Chris Lytle earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:02, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Matt Brown was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Lytle: +25Matt Brown: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricChris LytleMatt Brown
Significant Strikes Landed1925
Significant Strikes Attempted4942
Total Strikes Landed4029
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 1931 141
ELO Change+25-25
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What Happened

Matt Brown controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (25 vs 19), superior accuracy (59.5% vs 38.8%), 1 knockdown. However, since Matt Brown lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Chris Lytle's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Lytle: +24Matt Brown: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricChris LytleMatt Brown
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted12
Ground Control Time2:261:41
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 140915
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

Chris Lytle edged out Matt Brown on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:26 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Lytle: +35Matt Brown: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricChris LytleMatt Brown
Days Since Last Fight13398
Activity ELO1 1891 079
ELO Change+35-18
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What Happened

Chris Lytle demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chris Lytle capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Brown's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Lytle: +28Matt Brown: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricChris LytleMatt Brown
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 0641 028
ELO Change+28-22
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What Happened

Chris Lytle extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Brown is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Chris Lytle: +22Matt Brown: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricChris LytleMatt Brown
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0341 014
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.