October 17, 2008
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 990 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Chris Lytle's 8-fight experience advantage (13 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chris Lytle for the expected result. Had Paul Taylor pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 984 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 145 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Chris Lytle earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 102 | 85 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 194 | 160 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 212 | 133 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 145 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Chris Lytle dominated the striking exchanges with 212 vs 133 total strikes, 102 vs 85 significant strikes. Chris Lytle capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:59 | 1:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 087 | 904 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Chris Lytle controlled Paul Taylor on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 7:59 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 110 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -20 |
Chris Lytle demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chris Lytle capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Taylor's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 997 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -23 |
Chris Lytle started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Taylor is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.