August 20, 2004
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Ronald Jhun |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 014 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Chris Lytle's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chris Lytle for the expected result. Had Ronald Jhun pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Ronald Jhun |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Ronald Jhun |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:17 | 1:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 058 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -43 |
Chris Lytle earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:17, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Ronald Jhun was submitted.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Ronald Jhun |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 027 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -76 |
Chris Lytle controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chris Lytle capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Ronald Jhun |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:20 | 0:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 066 | 850 |
| ELO Change | +150 | -150 |
Chris Lytle dominated Ronald Jhun on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:20 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Ronald Jhun |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 046 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -21 |
Chris Lytle demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chris Lytle capitalized on this activity level, while Ronald Jhun's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Ronald Jhun |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Chris Lytle extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ronald Jhun is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Ronald Jhun |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.